If EBITDA determines what you pay for a company, net working capital determines what you actually receive at closing. Buyers who master NWC mechanics avoid the most common post-close dispute in M&A.
What NWC Includes (and Excludes)
Included in NWC
-
Accounts receivable (trade, net of allowance for doubtful accounts)
-
Inventory (raw materials, WIP, finished goods)
-
Prepaid expenses (insurance, rent, licenses)
-
Accounts payable (trade)
-
Accrued expenses (salaries, utilities, professional fees)
-
Deferred revenue (if applicable and agreed upon)
-
Customer deposits
Excluded from NWC (typically)
-
Cash and cash equivalents — Treated as separate price adjustment
-
Debt (current portion) — Included in net debt mechanism
-
Transaction expenses — Seller-specific costs excluded
-
Income taxes payable — Often excluded or treated separately
-
Intercompany balances — Eliminated at closing
The specific inclusions and exclusions are negotiated in the purchase agreement. KPMG Deal Advisory emphasizes that these definitions must be precise to avoid post-close disputes [KPMG Deal Advisory, "Financial Due Diligence methodology," 2024].
The NWC Peg: How It Is Set
The peg is the buyer's expectation of "normal" NWC — the level required to operate the business without additional capital infusion.
Normalization Process
-
1.
Calculate monthly NWC for trailing 12–24 months
-
2.
Identify seasonality — Is there a consistent pattern? (Retail businesses see NWC spike in Q3–Q4)
-
3.
Remove one-time items — Unusual collections, clearance sales, vendor disputes
-
4.
Adjust for known changes — New contracts, lost customers, price changes
-
5.
Set the peg — Typically the trailing 12-month average, or the average excluding seasonal peaks/troughs
Common Peg Strategies
| Strategy | Buyer Preference | Seller Preference |
| Trailing 12-month average | Average normalizes seasonality | Acceptable if business is stable |
| Last-day snapshot | Lower peg if closing after seasonal peak | Higher peg if closing at seasonal peak |
| Rolling 3-month average | Better captures recent trends | Resists if recent NWC is low |
The True-Up Mechanism
Financial workflow
See the financial review path in one live record.
Sorai keeps QoE findings, working capital calls, and evidence-linked review points in one workflow instead of scattered files and memo rebuilds.
How It Works
-
1.
Estimated closing statement: Before closing, the seller prepares an estimated NWC calculation
-
2.
Purchase price at closing: Based on the estimated NWC vs. peg difference
-
3.
Post-close true-up: Within 60–90 days, the buyer prepares a final closing statement with actual NWC
-
4.
Review period: The seller has 30–60 days to review and object
-
5.
Dispute resolution: If parties disagree, an independent accounting firm resolves disputes
Dollar-for-Dollar Adjustment
-
Actual NWC at closing = $5.5M → Buyer pays seller $500K additional
-
Actual NWC at closing = $4.3M → Purchase price reduced by $700K
This mechanism is symmetrical — it protects both parties.
Seller Manipulation: What to Watch For
Sellers can manipulate pre-close NWC through:
-
Accelerating collections: Pressuring customers to pay early, inflating AR-turned-cash
-
Delaying payables: Holding vendor payments to inflate AP balance at closing
-
Drawing down inventory: Reducing stock levels below operational needs
-
Pre-billing: Issuing invoices before services are delivered to inflate AR
-
Reclassifying items: Moving items between NWC and non-NWC categories
Deal agreements should include operating covenants requiring the seller to operate in the ordinary course of business during the pre-close period.
AI-Assisted NWC Analysis
AI accelerates NWC analysis:
-
Automated extraction of monthly balance sheet data from financial statements
-
Seasonal pattern detection across 24+ months of data
-
Anomaly flagging — Unusual month-to-month swings in any NWC component
-
Scenario modeling — Test different peg methodologies and their price impact
-
Peer benchmarking — Compare target's NWC as a percentage of revenue to industry peers
Bloomberg Law reports that NWC disputes are the most common post-close adjustment mechanism, averaging 2–4% of deal value [Bloomberg Law, "Post-Closing Disputes in M&A," 2023].
The Bottom Line
NWC is the most technically demanding and frequently disputed element of M&A pricing. Buyers who normalize correctly, negotiate the peg in the LOI, and structure the true-up mechanism precisely pay the right price and avoid post-close disputes.